Fresh off a 9-1 week that included hitting on the hail mary parlay (1 leg was a push, so the multiplier wasn’t alllll the way there) and 2-0 on locks. I’m back to win you some more money, and dig your bookmaker deeper in the grave. Without further ado, lets ride.
As always, this list will be updated throughout the week, so check back in closer to Saturday for the full report.
Texas A&M (-19) vs. Arkansas-My bet: TAMU -19 @2units
I just don’t see the Razorbacks keeping this close. They are running a spread system with players built for the Power-I. They’ve been turrible this year, and haven’t shown any signs of improvement. Jimbo and the Ag’s are fresh off a defeat from the Crimson Tide (although they covered, congrats), and should be motivated to take the hawgs to slaughter. I would even recommend checking out what kind of odds you can get on an alternate line up to 20.5 to stay joose positive.
Oklahoma State (-19) vs. Kansas-My bet: OSU -19 @2 units
Gundy and the Cowboys got a little exposed last week by Kliffy and the Red Raiders, but that’s only concerning if the Cowboys were playing a proficient team. OSU looks like it lacks the offensive fire power of years past, but that was to be expected. What they do have now should be more than enough to easily beat the Jayhawks. People also forget that TTU has a sneaky good defense, led by Dakota Allen of Last Chance U fame. Kansas on the other hand…well, ya, you get the drift.
Texas (-7.5) vs. Kansas State-My bet: Texas (-7.5) @1 unit and Texas (-11, +121) @1 unit
Texas looks like they’re rolling at the moment both on defense which was to be expected, but also throwing the ball which was somewhat unexpected. Kansas State on the other hand has looked putrid on offense. Bill Snyder’s magic looks to be drying up in Manhattan, KS and with the Red River Shootout next on the schedule Tom Herman and Co. should be looking to
A) make sure everything is clicking and
B) try to put film down intimidate the Sooners.
For both of these reasons, I see UT taking this one handily.
Notre Dame (-4.5) vs. Stanford-My bet: Stanford +4.5 @1 unit.
I’ll be honest, this is the bet I’m least confident in of the bunch but I still like it. The line opened at 3.5, and has moved a point in a day so it might be wise to hold off and see if you can eek out another half a point or so. If not, we’ll roll with what we got. I like Stanford, and I’m not overly-high on ND although they look much better after benching Wimbush. Stanford is just such a hard team to blow-out, that I’ll take my chances that they’ll keep the game close. Bryce Love looks to be fully healthy and I like the matchup Stanford’s O-line will have against the ND front 7. I don’t like the Cardinal to win, but sans a late score from the Irish I think they cover.
Lock(s) of the Week: USC (-3.5)/Arizona,
J.T Daniels announced himself to the world last Friday and showed the College Football landscape why he was such a highly rated recruit. After going several weeks with stagnant offenses, he broke out against Wazzu (and gave me my only loss because I got to greedy). Regardless, he went toe to toe with some character named Gardner Minchew the Second and his overlord Mike Leach and showed us that the Trojans still have some joose left in them. Arizona on the other hand, has shown a pulse exactly once the entire season. That was against Oregon State, which is quite frankly a terrible team.
Now, this is a Pac-12 after dark game so things could get wonky. I however suspect that you can grab your beer of choice and sip it on your couch as you count your money by the third quarter.
Stay tuned for more.
UPDATE 9/25: Hail Mary Parlay Addition Edition
Got two Parlay plays I like this week, one a 4-legger and one a 3-legger
Penn State – Ohio State(-3.5) Ohio State -5.5 +123
I’m not a big believer in Penn State. I think McSorely lives off a reputation from the Rose Bowl vs. USC a few years ago. Is he a good player? Absolutely. Is he Baker Mayfield? Absolutely not. He’s not going to slice and dice the Ohio State secondary like Baker did, and the Haskins show thus far has been phenomenal. I took TWO points, that’s how confident I am. The game is going to be an absolutely electric atmosphere in Happy Valley, in what will likely be the biggest home game they’ve had in years yet despite that I think the clamps of the Buckeye defense shows a lot of the issues Saquon Barkely hid last year. No Bosa, No problemo.
Penn State – Ohio State. Total Under 70.5
This over is contingent on Penn State scoring. I don’t think that happens. They may get 28, but that gives me the Buckeyes up to 42 to win. I see that happening with ease.
As always, track ’em stack ’em and win yourself some money.